Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.026529 0.029144 0.031735 0.034487 0.037323 0.040156 0.043194
2024-12-29 0.021145 0.025332 0.029600 0.034249 0.039145 0.044126 0.049558
2025-01-05 0.017269 0.022445 0.027861 0.033880 0.040326 0.046973 0.054305
2025-01-12 0.014167 0.020004 0.026267 0.033356 0.041055 0.049082 0.058014
2025-01-19 0.011075 0.017272 0.024115 0.032011 0.040707 0.049869 0.060149
2025-01-26 0.009839 0.016518 0.024047 0.032845 0.042622 0.052988 0.064676
2025-02-02 0.008333 0.015309 0.023361 0.032904 0.043608 0.055032 0.067976
2025-02-09 0.006539 0.013587 0.021976 0.032087 0.043550 0.055876 0.069917
2025-02-16 0.005523 0.012746 0.021562 0.032321 0.044615 0.057901 0.073092
2025-02-23 0.004472 0.011756 0.020906 0.032227 0.045268 0.059436 0.075697
2025-03-02 0.003463 0.010706 0.020116 0.031930 0.045653 0.060641 0.077907
2025-03-09 0.002650 0.009833 0.019494 0.031792 0.046186 0.061983 0.080239
2025-03-16 0.001528 0.008357 0.018152 0.030908 0.046018 0.062718 0.082113
2025-03-23 0.000823 0.007385 0.017439 0.030795 0.046773 0.064533 0.085240
2025-03-30 0.000270 0.006363 0.016580 0.030459 0.047237 0.065999 0.087959
2025-04-06 NaN 0.005343 0.015631 0.029958 0.047469 0.067170 0.090318
2025-04-13 NaN 0.004031 0.014114 0.028667 0.046717 0.067185 0.091354
2025-04-20 NaN 0.003818 0.014242 0.029468 0.048439 0.070003 0.095504
2025-04-27 NaN 0.003292 0.013819 0.029525 0.049249 0.071757 0.098442
2025-05-04 NaN 0.002466 0.012790 0.028740 0.049013 0.072288 0.099983
2025-05-11 NaN 0.002115 0.012535 0.028965 0.049985 0.074195 0.103057
2025-05-18 NaN 0.001685 0.012066 0.028874 0.050554 0.075620 0.105572
2025-05-25 NaN 0.001240 0.011475 0.028589 0.050865 0.076731 0.107717